Caen PTT vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SAI
2 - 2
CAE
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 2
CAE
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
EVR
2 - 2
CAE
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 1
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 2
CAE
48%
21%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAY
0 - 1
ALA
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ALE
3 - 3
BAY
75%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 2
PAM
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
DIE
1 - 0
BAY
60%
20%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 0
QUE
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |