Caen II vs V.Châtillon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
LAV
0 - 0
CAE
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 3
CAE
61%
22%
16%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 0
PON
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LES
0 - 0
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 2
FON
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
V.Châtillon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VCH
1 - 1
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VCH
0 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 3
VCH
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 0
VCH
57%
24%
20%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VCH
1 - 2
CON
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |