Caen II vs Sénart Moissy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
LEH
3 - 3
CAE
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
EVR
4 - 2
CAE
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
GON
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UJA
0 - 2
CAE
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sénart Moissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
SEN
1 - 1
OIS
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DRO
1 - 1
SEN
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SEN
1 - 0
ASB
31%
28%
42%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
SEN
63%
22%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAI
1 - 0
SEN
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |