Caen II vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AVR
0 - 3
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
LAV
60%
23%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 0
LES
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FON
3 - 0
CAE
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 2
LUC
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 1
SAU
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VCH
1 - 0
SAU
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAU
1 - 3
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAU
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |