Caen II vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GON
2 - 1
CAE
40%
24%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
4 - 0
FUR
72%
16%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LEH
1 - 0
CAE
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 0
QUE
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OIS
2 - 2
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CLU
2 - 0
STG
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
EVR
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 1
STG
46%
23%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STG
4 - 2
AMI
55%
25%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 0
STG
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |