Caen II vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LES
0 - 0
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 2
FON
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ROM
4 - 1
CAE
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
MAN
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAE
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
34%
27%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LEH
2 - 1
PON
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
LEM
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 1
PON
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PON
0 - 3
VCH
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |