Caen II vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CON
2 - 2
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LPS
3 - 0
CAE
60%
23%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 3
CHE
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
STA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEH
2 - 2
PLA
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 1
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 3
FRE
26%
28%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
ASB
0 - 0
PLA
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |