Caen II vs Pacy Vallée-d.Eure analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
SAU
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAE
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 3
LEH
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 0
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pacy Vallée-d.Eure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 3
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LEH
1 - 3
PAC
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
LEM
63%
22%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 0
PAC
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
VCH
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |