Caen II vs Noisy-le-Sec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAE
23%
25%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAE
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 2
OIS
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LEH
0 - 2
CAE
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NOI
0 - 2
UJA
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
NOI
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 3
QUE
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
NOI
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 3
ARR
33%
27%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |