Caen II vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LES
3 - 0
CAE
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 1
LEH
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAE
4 - 1
SAU
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AVR
0 - 3
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
3 - 1
ROM
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FON
1 - 2
LUC
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 3
PLA
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GDB
2 - 2
LUC
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SAU
0 - 2
LUC
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |