Caen II vs Les Herbiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
FON
3 - 0
CAE
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 3
ROM
25%
24%
52%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAE
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 0
LOR
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
LES
1 - 2
CAR
31%
29%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEH
1 - 0
LES
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LES
1 - 0
LEM
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
LES
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LES
2 - 0
VCH
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |