Caen II vs Les Herbiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAE
47%
27%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAE
0 - 2
ROM
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 2
CAE
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
FON
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VCH
3 - 1
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LES
2 - 1
STA
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STP
2 - 0
LES
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
LES
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LES
0 - 0
LAV
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
YZE
1 - 1
LES
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |