Caen II vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAE
4 - 1
SAU
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AVR
0 - 3
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
LAV
60%
23%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEH
0 - 0
ROM
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FON
2 - 2
LEH
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PLA
5 - 3
LEH
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LEH
1 - 2
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVR
5 - 0
LEH
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |