Caen II vs Furiani Agliani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LEH
1 - 0
CAE
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 0
QUE
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OIS
2 - 2
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 1
CHA
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
POI
2 - 1
CAE
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FUR
3 - 3
EVR
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 1
FUR
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 1
FUR
69%
17%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FUR
0 - 1
BAS
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
FUR
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |