Caen II vs FC Flérien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
4º
33
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAE
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAE
5 - 1
SAI
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
5 - 0
CAE
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
RAC
12%
19%
70%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
CAE
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 2
ALE
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
FLE
9%
15%
76%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 5
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 1
FLE
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 2
LAS
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |