Caen II vs Evry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOU
4 - 0
CAE
57%
20%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 2
AMI
50%
25%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 3
CAE
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
STG
2 - 0
CAE
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Evry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
EVR
0 - 4
POI
21%
25%
54%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
EVR
1 - 2
BOU
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 0
EVR
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
EVR
0 - 1
SAI
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
4 - 2
EVR
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |