Caen II vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VCH
3 - 1
CAE
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 0
LUC
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LES
3 - 0
CAE
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 1
LEH
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
ROM
41%
24%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
PLA
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GDB
0 - 2
CON
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
PON
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |