Caen II vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
5 - 2
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 3
NOI
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAE
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAE
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
UJA
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
BAS
43%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
QUE
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |