Caen II vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
LPS
3 - 0
CAE
60%
23%
16%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 3
CHE
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
STA
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STP
5 - 3
CAE
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 1
CAE
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 0
STA
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
STP
0 - 0
AVR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
AVR
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AVR
0 - 0
LAV
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
YZE
1 - 1
AVR
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |