Caen II vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
4º
32
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OIS
0 - 1
CAE
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
VHO
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LEH
1 - 2
CAE
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
DIE
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LMU
1 - 1
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AGC
2 - 1
USF
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AGC
0 - 0
ALE
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
AGC
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AGC
1 - 2
QUE
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AGC
4 - 2
OIS
33%
23%
45%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |