Caen II vs Villers Houlgate CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
4º
52
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LEH
1 - 2
CAE
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
DIE
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LMU
1 - 1
CAE
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 1
FLE
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAE
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Villers Houlgate CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VHO
1 - 2
ALE
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 6
VHO
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VHO
3 - 0
AGC
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OIS
0 - 0
VHO
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VHO
3 - 2
QUE
24%
21%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |