Caen II vs Chatou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
4º
44
1º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AGC
2 - 1
CAE
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 2
CAE
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
OIS
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VHO
3 - 2
CAE
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 3
LEH
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chatou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
ALE
39%
23%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
LMU
57%
20%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 2
CHA
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AGC
2 - 3
CHA
48%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
OIS
40%
23%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |