Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-3
Cádiz vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAD
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
CCF
0 - 0
CAD
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
CAD
2 - 0
CCF
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAD
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
RMA
1 - 1
UDL
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 0
UDL
57%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
UDL
4 - 2
ESP
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
UDL
1 - 0
ESP
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 0
UDL
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |