Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 0-4
Cádiz vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
CAD
0 - 2
VCF
37%
31%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1990 |
SPO
4 - 0
CAD
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
CAD
0 - 1
ATM
26%
28%
47%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1990 |
CAD
2 - 1
SPO
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
LOG
1 - 1
CAD
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
RMA
1 - 1
MLL
93%
6%
2%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1990 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
RMA
7 - 0
CAS
92%
6%
2%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1990 |
VAD
1 - 0
RMA
19%
26%
55%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMA
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |