Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-5
Cádiz vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAD
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
CAD
1 - 1
ESP
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
CAD
0 - 0
REC
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAD
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
CAD
1 - 0
SEV
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
RMA
2 - 0
CEL
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
LOG
1 - 3
RMA
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
RMA
3 - 1
MLL
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1987 |
RMA
3 - 0
SSC
89%
9%
3%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
SAB
0 - 2
RMA
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |