Segunda B Playoffs Final
Global 4-4
Cádiz vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
CAD
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 0
ALB
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
CAD
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
RMC
5 - 1
CAD
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 3
RMC
52%
23%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
CAD
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
LUG
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
ATB
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
EIB
0 - 0
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
EIB
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |