Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-2
Cádiz vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
CAD
0 - 0
GIM
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
TER
1 - 0
CAD
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAD
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
CAD
2 - 0
ALA
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
UES
3 - 2
CAD
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
OSA
2 - 1
BUR
43%
26%
30%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
BUR
0 - 0
CEL
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAD
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
REC
0 - 2
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
CDT
2 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |