Cacerense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
URO
1 - 0
CEC
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CEC
2 - 2
LTD
34%
24%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 1
CEC
26%
21%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CEC
0 - 1
LUV
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SIN
1 - 1
CEC
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
NME
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NME
0 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
LTD
1 - 1
NME
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NME
1 - 1
SIN
63%
21%
15%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LUV
0 - 1
NME
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |