Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-4
CP Cacereño vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
CDT
1 - 2
CPC
24%
28%
48%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
CPC
0 - 0
AMC
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
CDB
2 - 0
CPC
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
CPC
1 - 1
AFC
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
CPC
0 - 2
CDT
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
EST
0 - 0
SEV
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
SEV
2 - 1
ALG
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
BET
2 - 2
SEV
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
CDT
2 - 2
SEV
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
SEV
4 - 2
SAN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |