Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-8
CP Cacereño vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
5 - 0
CPC
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
CPC
1 - 1
VAL
52%
22%
25%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
PUL
9 - 1
CPC
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
CPC
5 - 3
MEL
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
MLL
4 - 2
CPC
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
5 - 0
CPC
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1952 |
MEL
4 - 1
MUR
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
0 - 1
ALC
64%
19%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
MUR
6 - 1
MLL
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
BAL
2 - 1
MUR
60%
20%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |