Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-3
CP Cacereño vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
47.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
BAL
0 - 1
CPC
54%
26%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
CPC
1 - 0
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1981 |
RAY
2 - 0
CPC
85%
12%
4%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CDR
2 - 3
CPC
53%
27%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CPC
1 - 0
BET
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
RAY
2 - 0
ELC
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 0
RAY
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1981 |
RAY
2 - 0
CPC
85%
12%
4%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
RAY
1 - 3
MAL
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
ATB
3 - 0
RAY
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |