CP Cacereño vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
CPC
53%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CPC
2 - 0
PAL
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 0
CPC
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CPC
2 - 0
SRQ
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CPC
3 - 0
SEV
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 1
MEL
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 1
LUC
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
UCA
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
LUC
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |