Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-5
CP Cacereño vs Galáctico Pegaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CPC
2 - 0
VAL
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
NUM
2 - 0
CPC
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
PEG
3 - 3
CPC
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 1
CPC
43%
33%
25%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CPC
6 - 1
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
SFN
1 - 1
PEG
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
PEG
3 - 0
TCF
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
PEG
3 - 3
CPC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CDS
2 - 0
PEG
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
PEG
2 - 3
CIE
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |