Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-2
CP Cacereño vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CPC
1 - 1
XER
38%
31%
31%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VIN
3 - 1
CPC
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CPC
0 - 0
POR
50%
30%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 3
CPC
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
CPC
1 - 0
MAL
74%
19%
7%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CDZ
3 - 0
VIN
62%
24%
14%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
CDZ
52%
27%
20%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CDZ
1 - 1
LLE
63%
24%
14%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
CDZ
2 - 0
POR
58%
27%
15%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
CDB
0 - 1
CDZ
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |