Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-2
CP Cacereño vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CPC
2 - 0
DBN
94%
5%
1%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
MON
0 - 2
CPC
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
DEP
1 - 0
CPC
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
CPC
1 - 0
ARC
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
JER
0 - 3
CPC
47%
30%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
DEP
2 - 1
SPO
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
NOI
1 - 3
DEP
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
DEP
1 - 0
CPC
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VDB
1 - 2
DEP
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |