CP Cacereño vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
PUE
4 - 1
CPC
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CPC
2 - 1
CDZ
38%
24%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CPC
1 - 1
XER
38%
31%
31%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VIN
3 - 1
CPC
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CPC
0 - 0
POR
50%
30%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 0
UES
70%
21%
9%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALG
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
IBI
1 - 0
AGD
32%
31%
37%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PUE
5 - 0
AGD
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
AGD
1 - 0
XER
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |