Catarinense 3 Campeonato final Final
Global 1-3
Caçador vs Santa Catarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+307%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caçador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 1
CAC
31%
22%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAC
2 - 2
CAI
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
CAC
31%
23%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAC
3 - 2
PBE
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ATB
0 - 2
CAC
10%
16%
74%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Catarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 1
CAC
31%
22%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 0
FFC
44%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 0
SCA
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
SCA
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SCA
8 - 0
JAR
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |