Cabofriense vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAB
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
CAB
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 3
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 3
CAB
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITU
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
ITU
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
ITU
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |