Cabofriense vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
CAB
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 3
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 3
CAB
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AUD
2 - 0
CAB
38%
25%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 1
CAB
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAM
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
JEC
17%
23%
61%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
CRI
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |