Cabofriense vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 1
CAB
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 4
FLU
8%
20%
72%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
OLA
2 - 0
CAB
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 5
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DUQ
4 - 2
OLA
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
DUQ
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
DUQ
3 - 3
MAD
70%
18%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 0
DUQ
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
DUQ
4 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |