Cape Verde vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CPV
1 - 3
SEN
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 1
CPV
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CPV
3 - 0
SWZ
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SWZ
1 - 1
CPV
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
KEN
1 - 0
CPV
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
UGA
1 - 0
COD
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
UGA
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
SDN
2 - 1
UGA
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 0
RWA
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 4
UGA
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |