Cape Verde vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
CMR
2 - 0
CPV
89%
9%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
LUX
1 - 1
CPV
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
BFA
0 - 1
CPV
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
BRN
2 - 3
CPV
30%
24%
45%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
CPV
0 - 0
GAM
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
MWI
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
YEM
2 - 1
TAN
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 2
SDN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TAN
0 - 0
BDI
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |