Cape Verde vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 0
CPV
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
CPV
82%
14%
5%
|
65 | 94 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
CPV
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 2
CPV
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CPV
5 - 0
EQG
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MLI
0 - 2
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
LBY
2 - 1
MLI
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
MLI
3 - 1
MWI
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
MLI
0 - 1
ALG
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ANG
4 - 4
MLI
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |