Cape Verde vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
CPV
1 - 0
GUY
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CPV
0 - 0
RSA
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
CPV
1 - 0
MTN
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
CPV
2 - 2
EGY
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
CPV
3 - 0
MOZ
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
KHM
0 - 2
EQG
9%
17%
74%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 1
GUI
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
4 - 0
CIV
15%
23%
62%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
4 - 2
GNB
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
EQG
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |