Cabecense vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LAP
1 - 1
CAB
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 0
ECI
39%
26%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CDG
0 - 0
CAB
19%
22%
59%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
ALG
25%
26%
49%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 2
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 1
SAN
18%
24%
59%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
ROC
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LEB
1 - 1
SAN
18%
23%
58%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |