Cabecense vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIS
0 - 2
CAB
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 1
CAS
51%
24%
26%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAB
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAB
1 - 0
EGA
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOG
1 - 2
CAB
18%
23%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARC
65%
21%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 3
UDT
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIS
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |