Cabecense vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
CIS
0 - 1
CAB
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SEV
1 - 1
CAB
55%
25%
20%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
COR
2 - 0
CAB
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 0
LAP
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAB
2 - 2
CIS
39%
26%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
CON
43%
25%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
ARC
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
LEB
0 - 0
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
CAS
50%
25%
26%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAB
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |