Vélez Sarsfield vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
BAN
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
NOB
1 - 0
VEL
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
TFE
3 - 3
VEL
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 0
UNI
51%
26%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
3 - 0
SBO
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SPC
3 - 1
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 0
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |