Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 0-1
Vélez Sarsfield vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1997 |
VEL
0 - 0
PLA
76%
17%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
SPC
0 - 0
VEL
31%
26%
44%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1997 |
BOC
1 - 2
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1997 |
VEL
2 - 1
ESP
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
RIV
1 - 1
VEL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
SPC
0 - 0
VEL
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 0
SPC
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SPC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
GRE
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |