Vélez Sarsfield vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
LAN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
RIV
4 - 2
VEL
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 2
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 0
PEÑ
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
GLP
3 - 2
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |